TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Match Winner
- Predict
Match Winner - Predict
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 14, 2026
Closed: Jun 14, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
Description
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Top Esports and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 14 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst predictions because they reflect real money at stake rather than expert opinion alone. On Predict, traders continuously reprice this market based on new information, team performance data, and betting patterns. Analysts may favor one team based on historical matchups or player skill assessments, while the market may weight recent form, injury reports, or meta shifts differently. Comparing the two reveals where consensus breaks down—when the market odds differ significantly from analyst consensus, it can signal either an undervalued outcome or overconfidence in one direction.
On Predict, traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome, with prices ranging from 0 to 100 cents per share. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the probability of that result. As new information emerges—such as team roster confirmations, scrim results, or analyst commentary—traders adjust their positions, pushing prices up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to changing conditions throughout the lead-up to the series.
This market resolves around Jun 14, 2026, once the best-of-five series concludes and the winner is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the majority of games in the matchup. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match expectations, team announcements, or shifts in player availability. Resolution is automatic once the series result is confirmed, and all positions settle according to the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before the series begins. Roster announcements or last-minute player substitutions would immediately impact market expectations. Scrim results or leaked practice footage often influence trader sentiment, especially if one team appears stronger than anticipated. Meta shifts from recent patches could favor one team's playstyle over the other. Injury reports or visa delays affecting key players would trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, expert analysis from prominent esports commentators or coaching staff statements can sway the market as new strategic insights emerge. Monitor team social media and esports news outlets for these developments.
