TOTAL VOLUME:

$102.3b

24H VOL:

$104,225,065

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,034,620,715

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,892,921

197,450

Markets across

19,499

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,281

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

44%

VS.

Kalshi:

56%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This group covers a League of Legends match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET. Markets include match winner, game-specific outcomes, total games played, and various in-game statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Predict use the same resolution source and tie/cancellation logicPrimary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins the series
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on completed games only
  • Cancellations, uncompleted matches, or unresolved outcomes after 7 days resolve to 50-50
  • Barons, dragons, inhibitors, kills, and other in-game events resolve based on actual game data from completed games

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match not completed: If the match begins but isn't completed, game-specific markets resolve based on completed portions; series markets resolve 50-50
  • Forfeit/disqualification: If a team wins by forfeit/disqualification, the match winner resolves to that team, but if the match ends in mutual forfeit it resolves 50-50
  • Name discrepancies: Minor name variations (abbreviations, sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are treated as the same team if clearly identifiable
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, using official sources or credible reporting as backupOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 29 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Anyone's Legend. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect trader sentiment and can adjust faster to new information. While sportsbooks may publish a static spread of 3.0, prediction markets price in probabilities that incorporate real-time trading activity and can show sharper shifts after key plays or roster updates. This difference lets traders exploit gaps between the two pricing models as the match approaches Jul 29, 2026.

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and how each platform’s community interprets early-game momentum. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might react more strongly to a standout player performance, while the other could hold a steadier view until later maps. These dynamics often produce distinct probability estimates for Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? and Games Total: O/U 2.5 before the event settles.

This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result follows the standard match rules for LPL Group Ascend, and all platforms will update simultaneously once official sources confirm the final game details. Traders should monitor live broadcasts and league announcements for early indicators.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, strategic roster swaps, or dominant early-game performances that alter win probability calculations. Updates from official LPL broadcasts, social media commentary, and in-game statistics released close to Jul 29, 2026 may also reshape trader sentiment. Any surprise momentum swing—especially in the first map—tends to generate rapid price adjustments on both Polymarket and Predict.

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