TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs
predict
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs

Volume:
$1,272,863

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 6:04 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$355,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,179
$26,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$129,826
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$117,010
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 3 Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$16,982
$3,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

TLN Pirates

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$111,723
N/A
N/A
$57,886
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5 Games

70%
Yes 70¢No 30¢
—
$11,135
$162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5 Games

63%
Yes 63¢No 37¢
—
$11,135
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)

38%
Yes 38¢No 62¢
—
$112
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs TLN Pirates (+1.5)

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 4 Winner

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$166
$8,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,881
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$164
$6,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Karmine Corp Blue

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$187,261
N/A
N/A
$96,230
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: KCB (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)

N/A
N/A
—
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+2.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 56

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the best-of-five League of Legends match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability favors the match going over 4.5 games at 63.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as backup. With the Lower bracket final scheduled for September 1, 2026, monitor the draft compositions and early game performance in the series to gauge whether it is likely to reach the full five games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms share identical resolution logic, including tie/cancellation handling and source fallback procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Match results determine winners for match/game winner markets
  • Total games played determines Over/Under outcomes
  • Handicap markets resolve based on game differential
  • 50-50 resolution applies for cancellations, incomplete matches, or rescheduling beyond deadline

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Forfeit/Walkover: Resolves to 50-50 if occurring before match start; resolves to winning team if occurring during match
  • Remade Games: Resolution based solely on the remade game results
Timing: Within 2 hours of official result publication on https://gol.gg/esports/home, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if site delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against TLN Pirates. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the named League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 1, 2026 at the stated time EDT. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between TLN Pirates and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against TLN Pirates. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LFL playoff match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the outcome of this best-of-five series. It displays total volume of $1,272,863 and 24-hour volume of $1,207,292, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, reflecting shifts in sentiment as the match approaches. This consolidated snapshot helps you compare expectations across platforms and gauge overall market momentum for the LFL playoff match market.

On Polymarket and Predict, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more fans of a particular team, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue sets its own fee structure and trading limits, which influence how quickly prices adjust. These factors combined often result in distinct probability estimates for the same event on different platforms.

Key player injuries, coaching strategies, and early game performance are major signals that could shift this market. Updates from practice sessions, team announcements, and even sentiment on social media can influence trader sentiment. As the series begins, each game’s outcome and dominant moments will cause rapid adjustments in probability estimates, especially on platforms with higher liquidity. Any last-minute roster changes could also create sudden volatility.