TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
polymarket
predict
kalshi
opinion

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume:
$3,733,841

Game 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 2:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$948,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$36,372
$54,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

JD Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$170,240
N/A
N/A
$102,190
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$22,390
$4,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,668
$136,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,559,518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4,351
$100,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$2,229
$16,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ThunderTalk Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115,815
N/A
N/A
$76,288
Settled
No
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$389
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 37

Intro

This market tracks whether any player will achieve a quadra kill in Game 1 of the League of Legends match between ThunderTalk Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend. The aggregated consensus probability for a quadra kill is 100.0%, with a secondary outcome of a penta kill at 20.0% across Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi, and Opinion. Resolution is determined by official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with video evidence as backup. Watch the match on July 30, 2026, for confirmation of in-game events.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic with consistent treatment of cancellations, incomplete matches, and name variations, relying primarily on gol.gg with credible reporting as backup.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting including video evidence as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Match must be officially completed with a winner determined for resolution
  • Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or incomplete matches resolve to 50-50 unless a winner is determined via forfeiture/disqualification
  • Minor name variations (abbreviations, sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are accepted if the team can be unambiguously identified
  • Primary source is gol.gg; credible reporting including video evidence used if gol.gg fails to publish within 2 hours

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Forfeiture/Walkover: If a team wins due to opponent's forfeiture/disqualification before or during the match, the winning team resolves normally; if the match is canceled due to withdrawal before play begins, it resolves to 50-50
  • Remade Games: Resolution is based on the remade game only, unless specified otherwise (e.g., first blood markets may use pre-remake data if applicable)
  • Name Discrepancies: Markets resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching; recognizable abbreviations, alternate spellings, and sponsor tags are treated as the same team if clearly identifiable
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official publication from gol.gg within 2 hours of event conclusion, or via credible reporting if delayedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the LPL 2026 League of Legends match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming scheduled for July 30, 2026, at 7:00 AM EDT. If JD Gaming wins, the JD Gaming market resolves to Yes, and the ThunderTalk Gaming market resolves to No. Conversely, if ThunderTalk Gaming wins, their market resolves to Yes, and JD Gaming's market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome is determined by the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming LPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-07-30 11:30 UTC: if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming"; if ThunderTalk Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LPL broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The LPL group ascend market dashboard aggregates betting activity and odds from multiple platforms for the LPL group ascend market. It shows total volume of $3,733,841 and 24-hour volume at $283,559, letting you see how trader sentiment shifts over time. The dashboard updates live, so you can monitor where the consensus lies as the event approaches.