TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game 1 Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Closed: Sep 18, 8:20 AM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving a penta kill in Game 4 of the League of Legends match between Team WE and JD Gaming during the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated probability across Predict, Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi indicates a 98.5% chance of a penta kill occurring, with an equal 98.5% probability of a quadra kill. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the series as it progresses, with resolution expected by September 18, 2026, marking the end of the betting period for this event.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Minor differences in tie/cancellation resolution timing and event definitions across platforms.Hero tip: Prioritize the overall match winner market due to consistent resolution criteria. Exercise caution when trading prop bets due to potential discrepancies in event definitions.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or postponements beyond October 2, 2026. Detailed rules for incomplete games and forfeits.
- Predict: Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days from the scheduled date. Similar forfeiture/disqualification rules.
- Limitless: Resolves to 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days from the scheduled date. Similar forfeiture/disqualification rules.
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if either JD Gaming or Team WE wins the specified League of Legends match held during the LPL Regional Finals 2026 on September 18, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals 2026, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.