TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game 2 Winner
- Polymarket
Game 2 Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 13, 2026
Closed: Jun 13, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks specific in-game events during the League of Legends Lower bracket final between Team WE and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs. Across Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, the leading outcome—whether any player achieves a Penta Kill in Game 5—stands at 20.0%, while a secondary outcome tracking whether both teams destroy inhibitors in Game 4 also sits at 20.0%, according to aggregated consensus. Resolution will be determined by official match data from gol.gg. Watch for the match scheduled on June 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, as the actual gameplay will determine whether these rare in-game milestones occur.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi's series outcome markets contain a logical contradiction: both team-win scenarios resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable. Limitless introduces a third resolution state (OTHER) absent from Polymarket, creating timing and outcome definition misalignment across platforms.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi series markets—they are logically broken. For series outcomes, use Polymarket exclusively. For game-level markets, all platforms agree on core logic but differ on edge-case handling: Polymarket resolves 50-50 if game not played due to series clinch; verify this condition before settlement. Limitless adds execution risk via the OTHER category—set alerts for official LPL results by July 13, 2026 23:59 UTC.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Series resolves to the team that wins the match (first to 3 wins). Game-level markets resolve based on completed games; if a game is not played because the series is already decided, that game market resolves 50-50. Forfeits/walkovers count toward series total if match is completed. Comprehensive edge-case handling for remakes, surrenders, and incomplete matches. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.'
- Kalshi: Series outcome markets state: 'If Bilibili Gaming wins... then YES. If Team WE wins... then YES.' This creates a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot both resolve to YES in a single match. No differentiation between team outcomes. No edge-case handling provided.
- Limitless: Team-specific markets: YES if named team wins, NO if named team loses, OTHER if no official result by July 13, 2026 23:59 UTC. Introduces a third resolution state (OTHER) not present on Polymarket or Kalshi. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover resolves to declared winner regardless of match start status. Key Quote: 'If the match is not completed with an official result by July 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to Other.'
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Team WE and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Team WE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If Bilibili Gaming wins the LPL 2026: Bilibili Gaming vs. Team WE League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team WE wins the LPL 2026: Bilibili Gaming vs. Team WE League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Team WE and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Split 2 2026, scheduled for Jun 13, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Key catalysts include roster changes or player substitutions announced before the series, recent team performance in regular season or earlier playoff rounds, and injury or availability updates for star players on either squad. Meta shifts in the current patch and champion pool adjustments can favor one team's playstyle over the other. Coach statements, scrim results leaked by insiders, and head-to-head historical matchup records often influence trader positioning. Live match outcomes during the series will drive dramatic repricing as each game result updates win probability for the overall best-of-five. Monitor LPL official channels and esports news for breaking developments.
