TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Volume:
$1,616,742
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Team Heretics and Team Vitality compete in a Best-of-3 League of Legends match during the LEC Group Stage, originally scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. The match winner is determined by the first team to win 2 games. Multiple derivative markets track individual game outcomes, in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multi-kills), and series-level metrics (total games played, game handicaps).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the LEC 2026 match itself (YES if either team wins), while Polymarket resolves on match winner determination with conditional 50-50 outcomes for cancellations, ties, delays, forfeits, and incomplete matches. This creates logical contradiction: Kalshi's markets cannot fail to resolve (both outcomes trigger YES), while Polymarket's markets have multiple 50-50 fallback states.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent settlement. Kalshi's match-outcome markets are logically broken (both Vitality win AND Heretics win resolve to YES). Polymarket's markets are resolvable but include extensive 50-50 clauses for edge cases. If you hold positions on both platforms, verify the actual match result against each platform's specific fallback rules before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's core markets (items 1-2) state 'If Team Vitality wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Heretics wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both possible match outcomes resolve to YES, leaving no NO outcome path. Kalshi provides no fallback rules for cancellations, delays, forfeits, or incomplete matches.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's markets resolve to specific team winners (Team Heretics or Team Vitality) for completed matches, with extensive 50-50 fallback clauses for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, ties, and incomplete matches. Example: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.' This structure allows all three outcomes (Team A, Team B, or 50-50) to be reached depending on match circumstances.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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