TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Volume:
$1,616,742

Team Vitality

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 5:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team Vitality

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,560
N/A
N/A
$68,298
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$480,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,798
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$651,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Team Heretics

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,479
N/A
N/A
$34,306
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 56

Description

Team Heretics and Team Vitality compete in a Best-of-3 League of Legends match during the LEC Group Stage, originally scheduled for March 30, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. The match winner is determined by the first team to win 2 games. Multiple derivative markets track individual game outcomes, in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multi-kills), and series-level metrics (total games played, game handicaps).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks. Kalshi resolves on the outcome of the LEC 2026 match itself (YES if either team wins), while Polymarket resolves on match winner determination with conditional 50-50 outcomes for cancellations, ties, delays, forfeits, and incomplete matches. This creates logical contradiction: Kalshi's markets cannot fail to resolve (both outcomes trigger YES), while Polymarket's markets have multiple 50-50 fallback states.Hero tip: Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent settlement. Kalshi's match-outcome markets are logically broken (both Vitality win AND Heretics win resolve to YES). Polymarket's markets are resolvable but include extensive 50-50 clauses for edge cases. If you hold positions on both platforms, verify the actual match result against each platform's specific fallback rules before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's core markets (items 1-2) state 'If Team Vitality wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Team Heretics wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both possible match outcomes resolve to YES, leaving no NO outcome path. Kalshi provides no fallback rules for cancellations, delays, forfeits, or incomplete matches.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket's markets resolve to specific team winners (Team Heretics or Team Vitality) for completed matches, with extensive 50-50 fallback clauses for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, ties, and incomplete matches. Example: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.' This structure allows all three outcomes (Team A, Team B, or 50-50) to be reached depending on match circumstances.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.