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404,028

Markets across

30,214

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - LES Final Four
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix?

Volume:
$455,951

Game 3 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:29 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$140,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 3 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$18,931
$10,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$6,486
$4,475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Movistar KOI Fénix

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,000
N/A
N/A
$9,558
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 3.5 Games

View
75%
Yes 75¢No 25¢
—
$771
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$138
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5 Games

View
N/A
N/A
97¢
$769
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16¢
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 4 Winner

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$70,643
$12,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
48%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$70,643
$13,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$38
$5,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Los Heretics (OLD)

View
0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,958
N/A
N/A
$6,387
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5)

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: HRTS (-2.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+2.5)

View
N/A
N/A
—
$837
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 52

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving a quadra kill in Game 4 of the League of Legends best-of-five match between Team Heretics Academy and Movistar KOI Fénix during the LES Final Four. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 50.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution determined by gol.gg’s esports coverage. Keep an eye on the series progression as the teams approach Game 4, scheduled for resolution on September 6, 2026, to see if the match extends that far.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Duplicate markets for the overall match winner exist across Polymarket and Predict, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Monitor trading volume and liquidity on both platforms to avoid adverse selection.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the overall BO5 match. If canceled or tied, resolves to 50/50. Resolution source is https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Predict: Resolves to the winner of the overall BO5 match. If canceled or tied, resolves to 50/50. Resolution source is https://gol.gg/esports/home.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Heretics Academy and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Final Four, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "⁠Movistar KOI Fénix" if ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Team Heretics Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the LES 2026 League of Legends match between Movistar KOI Fénix and Los Heretics (OLD), scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If Movistar KOI Fénix wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Los Heretics (OLD) wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Heretics Academy and ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix in the LES Final Four, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix. This market will resolve to "⁠Movistar KOI Fénix" if ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Team Heretics Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the LoL LES Final Four match between Team Heretics Academy and Movistar KOI Fénix. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $455,951, with $74,734 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view on who is favored to win the best-of-five series. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the market, allowing users to compare predictions and track shifts in sentiment as the event approaches. It’s a great way to gauge expectations for the LoL LES Final Four.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their beliefs, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities. This market's odds may differ from sportsbooks due to varying information sources, differing levels of expertise among participants, and the incentive structure of prediction markets. The volume of $455,951 suggests considerable interest in this event.