TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of kills in Game 4 of the T1 versus Team Liquid Mid-Season Invitational Play-In best-of-five series will be odd or even. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official match data from gol.gg. Watch for the completion of Game 4 on July 1, 2026, which will provide the final kill count needed to settle this market.
This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between T1 and Team Liquid in the Mid-Season Invitational Play-In, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial risk. Esports prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or faster-moving lines than sportsbooks, especially for niche matchups. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbook offerings on the same series can reveal where the crowd sees value or where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the series concludes and the winner is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-five matchup under official Mid-Season Invitational rules. Resolution hinges on the final series result as confirmed by League of Legends esports authorities and major sports news outlets. Traders should monitor the official MSI schedule and any schedule changes or postponements that might affect the resolution timeline.
Key catalysts include roster changes, player injuries, or substitutions announced before the series begins. Recent scrim results, patch updates to League of Legends, and team form leading into MSI can shift trader sentiment significantly. Head-to-head history and performance at prior international events often influence positioning. Media narratives around each team's strengths and weaknesses, combined with live performance during the play-in stage, will likely drive price movement as the match date approaches and unfolds.