TOTAL VOLUME:
$66.3b
24H VOL:
$297,033,435
24H TRANSACTIONS:
640,051,974
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,329,645,523
617,567
Markets across
13,798
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,243
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends Best-of-5 Lower Bracket Final between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Road to MSI tournament, with a current consensus probability of 100.0% across Polymarket, Predict, and Limitless. Resolution will be determined by official data from gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting and video evidence as fallback if official results are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled June 14, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET to determine the final outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home; if not published within 2 hours of event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.Core resolution logic:
- Match winner (T1 vs Gen.G): resolves to the team that wins the series. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without play, or ends in forfeit/disqualification at series start, resolves 50-50. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeiture/disqualification mid-series, resolves to the winning team.
- Individual game winners (Games 1-5): resolve to the team that wins the completed game. If game is not completed, resolves 50-50. If game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only.
- Series length (O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5): counts total games played including forfeits/walkovers/defaults, provided match is completed. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or incomplete with mid-series forfeit, resolves 50-50.
- Game handicaps (Gen -1.5, Gen -2.5): resolves based on game differential. If match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or incomplete with mid-series forfeit, resolves 50-50.
- Kill totals (O/U thresholds per game): Over resolves if total kills meet or exceed threshold plus one (e.g., 31+ for 30.5 threshold). If game is canceled, delayed, not played, or incomplete, resolves 50-50. If remade, uses remade game data only.
- First blood (per game): resolves to team that secures first blood. If game is incomplete but first blood occurred, resolves based on that data. If game is incomplete and no first blood occurred, resolves 50-50. If game is remade, uses first blood from remake; if no first blood before remake, uses remade game data.
- Objective markets (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors, both teams): resolve Yes if both teams achieve the objective at least once during the game, No otherwise. If game is incomplete and condition was not met, resolves No. If game is incomplete and condition was met, resolves Yes. If game is remade, uses remade game data only.
- Multi-kill markets (Penta, Quadra per game): resolve Yes if any player achieves the kill type during the game, No otherwise. If game is incomplete and multi-kill occurred, resolves Yes. If game is incomplete and no multi-kill occurred, resolves No. If game is remade, uses remade game data only.
- Odd/Even total kills (per game): resolves Odd if total champion kills is odd, Even if even. If no kills recorded or game is canceled/delayed/not played, resolves 50-50. If remade, uses remade game data only.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Series Cancellation or Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is canceled entirely or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date (June 14, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50, including match winner and series length markets.
- Forfeit or Disqualification at Series Start: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks away before the match begins, the match winner market resolves 50-50. However, if the match begins and one team later forfeits/is disqualified mid-series, the other team wins the series.
- Incomplete Game with Partial Data: If a game begins but does not complete: first blood and objective markets resolve based on data recorded before stoppage (Yes if condition met, 50-50 if no data or condition not met). Kill total and Odd/Even markets resolve 50-50. Multi-kill markets resolve based on recorded data or 50-50 if none.
- Game Remake: If a game is remade for any reason, all resolution is based on the remade game only. Data from the original game is disregarded.
- Series Not Reaching a Game: If the series is decided before a game is needed (e.g., one team clinches 3-0 before Game 4), markets for that game resolve 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs within 2 hours of official match conclusion on gol.gg/esports/home. If official data is not published within 2 hours, credible reporting and video evidence consensus is used. The scheduled match date is June 14, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET; any delay beyond June 21, 2026 (7 days) without play beginning triggers 50-50 resolution for all markets.Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 14 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 14 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK 2026, scheduled for Jun 14, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing rather than traditional sportsbook margins. Traders directly set odds by buying and selling shares, which often results in tighter spreads and faster price discovery than conventional betting. Sportsbooks typically build in a margin for profit, whereas prediction markets reflect pure supply and demand. For esports events like this one, prediction markets can be more responsive to breaking news about player roster changes, scrim results, or meta shifts that sportsbooks may lag on updating.
Limitless and Polymarket can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. Predict and Polymarket may have varying fee structures, user interfaces, and settlement rule interpretations that influence how participants price the same outcome. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge when one platform's odds diverge significantly from the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent instant convergence. Regional user bases and platform-specific promotional activity can also drive temporary price gaps on esports events.
This market resolves around , once the playoff series concludes and the winner is verified. The outcome is determined by which team wins the best-of-five match and advances in the LCK Road to MSI bracket. Resolution will be confirmed against credible public sources covering the LCK competition, ensuring accuracy before final settlement. Until that point, odds will continue to shift based on team news, scrim leaks, and community sentiment.
Key catalysts include roster announcements, player injury or availability updates, and recent scrim results or tournament performances by either squad. Meta shifts in the current League patch can favor one team's playstyle over the other, prompting sharp traders to reposition. Public statements from coaches or analysts, community sentiment swings, and betting action from high-profile traders can also trigger noticeable price moves. Closer to the match date, any last-minute schedule changes or technical issues would likely create volatility as traders reassess risk.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.