TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde
Total volume:
$105,238
Volume 24h:
$2,760
105%
Liquidity:
$66,217
1%
Open interest:
$25,355
0.94%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Monday, June 15, 2026 between Spain and Cabo Verde.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market cancellation logic diverges between platforms. Polymarket and Predict resolve YES on full cancellation; Limitless resolves NO if no official result by deadline. Postponement handling also differs: Polymarket/Predict remain open; Limitless enforces hard deadline.Hero Tip:
Traders holding draw positions should note that cancellation scenarios create platform-specific payoff differences. Polymarket/Predict draw holders benefit from cancellation (YES payout), while Limitless draw holders lose (NO payout). Conversely, if match is postponed beyond July 15, 2026, Limitless draw resolves NO while Polymarket/Predict remain open. Hedge accordingly or clarify intent with platform support before match date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw after 90+stoppage, or if match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If postponed, market remains open until completion. Primary source: official event statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Predict: Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw after 90+stoppage, or if match is canceled entirely with no make-up game. If postponed, market remains open until completion. Primary source: official event statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if match ends in draw after 90+stoppage. If match is not completed with official result by July 15, 2026, 12:00 UTC, market resolves NO. No explicit cancellation clause; hard deadline enforced. Secondary source: credible reporting consensus if FBRef data unavailable for 72 hours post-match.
- Kalshi: No draw market listed. Three binary markets cover Tie, Spain win, and Cape Verde win outcomes. Each resolves YES if respective outcome occurs after 90+stoppage. No cancellation or postponement clauses provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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