TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Belgium vs. Egypt
Total volume:
$10,336
Volume 24h:
$147
69%
Liquidity:
$15,061
0.86%
Open interest:
$3,993
2%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FIFA World Cup match between Belgium and Egypt scheduled for June 15, 2026. Markets across four platforms (Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict) offer binary outcomes on Belgium win, Egypt win, and Draw results, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and no-result handling diverges across platforms. Polymarket and Predict resolve Draw=YES on cancellation but Win=NO; Limitless mirrors this logic; Kalshi provides no explicit guidance. This creates asymmetric payout scenarios if the match is not completed.Hero Tip:
If trading across platforms, be aware that a canceled match will trigger Draw=YES on Polymarket/Predict/Limitless, but Belgium and Egypt win markets will resolve NO. This breaks the normal 3-way mutual exclusivity. Kalshi's lack of cancellation language is a data integrity gap—request clarification before committing capital. For most scenarios (match played), all platforms converge on 90-minute + stoppage-time outcomes measured against official FIFA records.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up; Belgium/Egypt win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Win markets resolve NO if game is postponed (market remains open). Draw market remains open if postponed. Primary source: official FIFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Predict: Identical to Polymarket: Draw=YES on cancellation, Win=NO on cancellation. Postponement keeps markets open until completion. Primary source: official FIFA statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Limitless: Draw market resolves YES if no official result by July 15, 2026, 19:00 UTC; Belgium/Egypt win markets resolve NO if no result by that deadline. No explicit cancellation language; treats non-completion as no-result scenario.
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Belgium win, Egypt win, Tie) resolve YES if they occur within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit guidance on cancellation, postponement, or no-result scenarios. Highest ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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