TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
%20scale(0.82)%20translate(-12.5%20-12.5)'%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M9.619%2012.69h12.995a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200-2.76h-3.932l5.298-5.405.032-.032L22.08%202.56h-5.255V1.38c0-.76-.619-1.38-1.38-1.38H9.81c-.76%200-1.38.62-1.38%201.38V11.5c0%20.657.534%201.19%201.19%201.19m12.995-2.186h-5.3l5.89-6.01-1.139-1.139-5.813%205.933V1.38a.806.806%200%200%200-.805-.806.806.806%200%200%200-.805.806v9.545c0%20.656.533%201.19%201.189%201.19h6.783a.806.806%200%200%200%200-1.612'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M14.393%2011.31H1.398a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200%202.76H5.33L.032%2019.476%200%2019.507l1.931%201.933h5.255v1.18c0%20.76.619%201.38%201.379%201.38h5.638c.76%200%201.38-.62%201.38-1.38V12.5c0-.657-.534-1.19-1.19-1.19m.293%2011.31a.8.8%200%200%201-.788.805.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.805v-7.904l-5.69%205.928-1.113-1.139%205.764-6.005H6.884a.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.806c0-.444.353-.806.787-.806h6.638c.642%200%201.164.534%201.164%201.19z'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}
Arsenal advances
- Kalshi
Arsenal advances - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the Community Shield match between Arsenal and Manchester City, focusing on which team will advance. The aggregated consensus probability shows Arsenal to advance at 99.0%, with Manchester City to advance at 1.0%, drawing data from Limitless, Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with video evidence as a secondary source if needed. Watch for the match result on August 16, 2026, to confirm the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution logic tied to official gol.gg results, with consistent handling of cancellations, ties, and incomplete matches.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with video evidence as a secondary source if neededCore resolution logic:
- Match outcomes resolve to the team that wins the best-of-three series, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or unresolved delays beyond 7 days
- Game-specific markets resolve based on completed games only; incomplete games resolve to 50-50 unless a winner is determined
- Performance metrics (e.g., dragon kills, inhibitor destruction) resolve based on in-game events as reported by gol.gg or video evidence
- Any discrepancies in team names are resolved by identifying the intended team within the LCK competition context
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins via forfeit or walkover before the match starts, the match market resolves to 50-50, but game-specific markets resolve based on whether the game was played
- Remade Games: If a game is remade, resolution is based solely on the remade game’s results
- Delayed Matches: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined, all markets resolve to 50-50
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If Arsenal advance past Manchester City in the Arsenal vs Manchester City soccer tie in the Final of the Community Shield and lift the cup, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manchester City advance past Arsenal in the Arsenal vs Manchester City soccer tie in the Final of the Community Shield and lift the cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 16 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between T1 and Gen.G in the LCK 2026, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader-driven odds that often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and can show sharper or more volatile pricing, especially ahead of key matchups. Sportsbook odds may reflect broader public betting patterns and institutional adjustments, while this market captures niche, informed speculation. Traders should watch for gaps between the two, as they can signal shifts in expectations for the outcome.