TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Solary vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Solary and Vitality.Bee in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 23 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against Vitality.Bee. This market will resolve to "Vitality.Bee" if Vitality.Bee win the match against Solary. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Solary wins OR Vitality.Bee wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly scoped to Game 1 outcomes only, while Kalshi's resolution logic is internally incoherent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. Its resolution rules state it resolves YES if either team wins the match, meaning it will always resolve YES regardless of outcome — this is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's Game 1 markets are resolvable but depend entirely on gol.gg data availability within 2 hours post-match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: The match winner market contains a logical contradiction. The rules state: 'If Solary wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Vitality.Bee wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, violating basic binary market logic. Quote: 'If Solary wins the LFL 2026: Vitality.Bee vs. Solary League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes. If Vitality.Bee wins the LFL 2026: Vitality.Bee vs. Solary League of Legends match... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Game 1 outcome markets (Quadra Kill, Odd/Even Kills, Both Teams Inhibitors, Penta Kill, Both Teams Baron, Both Teams Dragon) are properly scoped to Game 1 only and contain coherent binary or categorical logic. All resolve based on gol.gg official data within 2 hours post-match, with 50-50 fallback for cancellation, delay >7 days, forfeit, or if series is clinched before Game 1 is played. The match winner market (Solary vs Vitality.Bee) is also coherent: resolves to the winning team, or 50-50 for cancellation/delay/forfeit.
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