TOTAL VOLUME:
$147b
24H VOL:
$166,780,787
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,782,432,967
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,766,611,068
505,723
Markets across
37,656
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,854
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both Shopify Rebellion and KT Rolster will slay a dragon during their best-of-one match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?”. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET, as the outcome will depend on in-game events during that specific fixture.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and KT Rolster in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Shopify Rebellion. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by individuals wagering their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or debate surrounding the event. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate forecasts, although sportsbooks have the benefit of established risk management practices.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Shopify Rebellion versus KT Rolster match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to the latest developments surrounding the Demacia Cup.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shopify Rebellion versus KT Rolster match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage. The platform will verify the result against established esports data sources to determine which team emerged victorious in this best-of-one series. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, or strategic changes could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player health, potential substitutions, or in-game adjustments are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, the performance of both teams in other recent matches and any analysis from esports experts could sway the market. Finally, general shifts in public opinion or large trades on Polymarket could also contribute to movement in the odds.