TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between ROSSMANN Centaurs and E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS in the Prime League 1st Division Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "ROSSMANN Centaurs" if ROSSMANN Centaurs win the match against E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS. This market will resolve to "E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS" if E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS win the match against ROSSMANN Centaurs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines a complete 6-market event group with detailed resolution rules for match outcome and five Game 1 in-game metrics, while Kalshi provides only a single binary market on match outcome with fundamentally broken logic that resolves YES for both possible outcomes. Kalshi's market is logically unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market. Its resolution rule states 'If ROSSMANN Centaurs wins...then YES' AND 'If E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS wins...then YES', meaning the market resolves YES regardless of the actual match result. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's six markets are internally consistent and resolvable; trade only there.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (only coherent platform): Polymarket provides six distinct markets covering match outcome (resolves to winning team name or 50-50 on cancel/forfeit/delay >7 days) and five Game 1 in-game metrics (inhibitors, kill parity, penta/quadra kills, Baron, dragons). All markets use gol.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Each market has explicit edge-case rules for forfeits, remakes, and early surrenders. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi provides a single market with a logical contradiction. The resolution rule states 'If ROSSMANN Centaurs wins...then YES' and separately 'If E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS wins...then YES', which means the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes. This is a data integrity failure that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. No edge cases, no tie-breaking, no source specified.
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