TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.2b
24H VOL:
$139,262,101
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,798,566,680
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,770,072,055
512,063
Markets across
38,451
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,850
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:16 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends best-of-one match between RED Canids and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage. Currently, Polymarket assigns a 100.0% probability to RED Canids winning the match. Resolution will be based on the results reported by https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, as this marks the start of the betting period and the potential for the match to begin.
This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between RED Canids and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against RED Canids. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on team rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying opinions among bettors. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as more information surfaces, potentially offering value compared to static sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence from market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing sentiment leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the RED Canids versus Natus Vincere match in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage will determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official tournament results to establish the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either RED Canids or Natus Vincere could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion, as reflected by analyst predictions or social media discussions, can impact trading activity and drive price movements in this market.