TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: RED Academy vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between RED Academy and Vivo Keyd Stars Academy in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 21 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Academy" if RED Academy win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against RED Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY match outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly scoped to Game 1 outcomes with clear YES/NO conditions. Kalshi's match winner market (Question 12) uses standard binary logic, but the two Kalshi yes/no markets at the top are contradictory.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on the Kalshi markets labeled as items 1-2 (the Vivo Keyd / RED Academy conditional markets). They resolve YES regardless of match outcome, making them worthless. The Polymarket Game 1 markets and the standard Kalshi match winner market (Question 12) are resolvable; focus there.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi (Items 1-2): Both markets state: 'If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If RED Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes, creating a logical contradiction and rendering the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Vivo Keyd Stars Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If RED Academy wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket (Questions 3-11) & Kalshi (Question 12): Polymarket Game 1 markets (Dragons, Inhibitors, Kills parity, Quadra/Penta Kills, Baron) use clear binary YES/NO resolution tied to specific in-game events with comprehensive edge-case handling (cancellation, forfeit, surrender, remake rules). Kalshi's match winner market (Question 12) uses standard binary logic: RED Academy wins = resolves RED Academy, Vivo Keyd wins = resolves Vivo Keyd, with 50-50 for cancellation/delay/forfeit. Quote from Kalshi Q12: 'This market will resolve to RED Academy if RED Academy win the match... This market will resolve to Vivo Keyd Stars Academy if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match.'
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