TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Volume:
$258,833

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 21, 2026

Closed: Apr 20, 11:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$165,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Estral Esports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,931
N/A
N/A
$41,447
Settled
No
kalshi

RED Academy

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,064
N/A
N/A
$29,520
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-One match between RED Academy and Estral Esports in the Circuito Desafiante Regular Season, scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Markets span match outcome, in-game objectives (dragons, Baron, inhibitors), and player achievements (penta/quadra kills), with resolution contingent on official match completion and data availability from gol.gg.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market logic is fundamentally broken and resolves YES for all possible outcomes (both RED Academy win and Estral Esports win), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket markets have well-defined binary or outcome-specific resolution criteria.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely — it contains a logical contradiction that makes it unresolvable. The Polymarket markets (match winner, penta/quadra kills, dragon/baron/inhibitor outcomes, kill parity) are all properly structured with clear YES/NO or outcome-specific resolution paths. If forced to choose, trade only on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Six distinct markets with clear binary or outcome-specific resolution logic: (1) Match winner resolves to RED Academy or Estral Esports with 50-50 fallback for cancellation/forfeit/tie; (2) Penta Kill resolves YES if any player achieves it, NO otherwise; (3) Both Teams Slay Dragon resolves YES only if both teams each slay at least one elemental dragon, NO otherwise; (4) Both Teams Slay Baron resolves YES only if both teams each slay Baron at least once, NO otherwise; (5) Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors resolves YES only if both teams each destroy at least one inhibitor, NO otherwise; (6) Quadra Kill resolves YES if any player achieves it (including via Penta), NO otherwise; (7) Odd/Even Total Kills resolves to Odd or Even based on combined kill count. All markets include consistent 50-50 fallback for cancellation, forfeit, walkover, or delay beyond 7 days.
  • Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic: 'If RED Academy wins...then resolves to Yes. If Estral Esports wins...then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, violating basic Boolean resolution principles. No fallback conditions, no NO outcome path, and no clear settlement value.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.