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24H VOL:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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LoL: NRG Esports vs Conviction (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win NRG Esports vs Conviction?

Volume:
$115,781

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 12:56 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,884
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$510
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NRG Esports

View
71%
9%
Yes 71¢No 29¢
100¢
N/A
$20,147
N/A
N/A
$8,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Conviction

View
29%
1%
Yes 29¢No 71¢
100¢
N/A
$16,146
N/A
N/A
$6,961
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Conviction (+1.5)

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Conviction (+2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group covers the North American Challengers League Playoffs BO5 match between NRG Esports and Conviction, featuring multiple markets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms. The markets include game-specific outcomes, series results, and various in-game statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share consistent resolution criteria, relying on the same official source and handling edge cases uniformly.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a fallback

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve based on official match results or statistical data from the designated source
  • Postponements beyond September 16, 2026 result in 50-50 splits for affected markets
  • Cancellations, forfeits, or unresolved matches default to 50-50 splits unless explicitly defined otherwise

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement Deadline: If the match is postponed and not rescheduled by September 16, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Incomplete Games: If a game is partially played and stopped (e.g., via surrender), resolution depends on whether the required condition was met before stoppage
  • Name Discrepancies: Minor name variations (e.g., sponsor tags, regional identifiers) are treated as the same team if clearly identifiable
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours of the event conclusion, using official sources; if unavailable, credible reporting is usedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 2 match between NRG Esports and Conviction in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "NRG Esports" if NRG Esports win the match against Conviction. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against NRG Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 2, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either NRG Esports or Conviction wins the specified League of Legends match scheduled for September 2, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The NRG vs Conviction BO5 market dashboard aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team winning the series. It displays total volume of $115,781 and 24-hour volume of $51,412, letting you see where consensus stands and how sentiment shifts before the match begins.

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines. For this market, the implied probabilities may show a tighter or wider spread than sportsbooks, depending on where retail and institutional traders are placing their bets. This difference often highlights perceived value or risk unique to each venue.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through decentralized trading, while Kalshi uses a different user base and liquidity model. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For the NRG vs Conviction BO5 market, differing trader sentiment, regional biases, and varying market depths can create price gaps. Some participants may have access to unique insights or real-time data feeds that aren't shared across platforms. Additionally, each venue sets its own listing rules and fee structures, which influence how odds are displayed and updated throughout the event.