TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
predict
limitless
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX?

Volume:
$5,361,001

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 9:52 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,002,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$35,947
$127,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,039,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$37,763
$59,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nongshim Red Force

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259,248
N/A
N/A
$134,638
Settled
Yes
limitless

Nongshim Red Force

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.9¢
N/A
$1,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$17,785
$4,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$1,651
$82,985
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,337,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$392
$10,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

BNK FEARX

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338,366
N/A
N/A
$178,563
Settled
No
limitless

BNK FEARX

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
99.7¢
N/A
$1,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the League of Legends match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group. The current consensus probability for Nongshim Red Force to win is 100.0%. Data is aggregated from Predict, Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for the match conclusion on August 1 to confirm the result.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official gol.gg results with fallback to credible reporting, consistent handling of cancellations and incomplete games, and clear tie/50-50 rules.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with fallback to credible reporting including video evidence if gol.gg fails to publish within 2 hours

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team that wins the best-of-three series, with 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on completed game outcomes, with 50-50 for incomplete or unplayed games
  • Total games markets resolve to Over if 3+ games are played, Under for fewer, with 50-50 for cancellations or unresolved matches
  • Handicap markets resolve based on game differential, with 50-50 for cancellations or unresolved matches

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellations/Delays: If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, most markets resolve 50-50
  • Incomplete Games: If a game is not completed (e.g., surrender, forfeiture), game-specific markets resolve based on data up to stoppage or 50-50 if no data exists
  • Forfeit/Walkover: If a team wins by forfeit/disqualification before play begins, match winner resolves to the winning team, but some markets may resolve 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs after official results are published on gol.gg within 2 hours of match conclusion, or via credible reporting if gol.gg is unavailableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the LCK 2026 match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force scheduled for August 1, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If BNK FEARX wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if Nongshim Red Force wins, the second market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the match between Nongshim Red Force and BNK FEARX in the LCK 2026, scheduled for Aug 1, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."

Frequently asked questions

The LCK Rise Group match outcome market dashboard aggregates predictions across platforms for the match result, showing how traders view the likely winner. It tracks consensus and volume trends, reflecting collective wisdom on who will advance from the group stage. With a total volume of $5,361,001 and 24-hour volume of $5,315,401, the dashboard offers a live view of shifting expectations as the event approaches.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often showing sharper or more volatile odds than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and can react faster to news, injuries, or strategy shifts. The gap between prediction and sportsbook odds may widen if there’s new information not yet reflected in fixed-line betting, making this market a dynamic alternative for assessing probabilities.