TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: NightBirds vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Volume:
$72,255

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 2:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,503
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NightBirds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,373
N/A
N/A
$9,103
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

EXILE esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,256
N/A
N/A
$9,651
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
50%
49%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
50%
25%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
50%
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group covers a League of Legends match between NightBirds and EXILE esports in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, scheduled for August 20, 2026. The group includes markets for match outcomes, game-specific results, and various in-game statistics across up to three games in a best-of-three series.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic with consistent fallbacks and deadlinesPrimary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Official results from gol.gg are primary source, credible reporting used if not published within 2 hours
  • 50-50 resolution for cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, or if games are not played due to series conclusion
  • Rescheduled matches must start by September 3, 2026 or resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Remade Games: Resolution based on the remade game only
  • Partial Game Completion: Resolves based on completed portions for specific metrics (e.g., kills, objectives) if the game ends early
Timing: Within 2 hours after official results are published on gol.gg, or within 2 hours of match conclusion if using credible reportingOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and EXILE esports in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against EXILE esports. This market will resolve to "EXILE esports" if EXILE esports win the match against NightBirds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Hitpoint Masters 2026 League of Legends match between EXILE esports and NightBirds scheduled for August 20, 2026, at 10:00 AM EDT. If EXILE esports wins the match, the EXILE esports market resolves to Yes, and the NightBirds market resolves to No. Conversely, if NightBirds wins, the NightBirds market resolves to Yes, and the EXILE esports market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match is cancelled before any play begins, or if either team forfeits before the match starts, both markets also resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of differing user bases, liquidity conditions, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more professional traders who interpret advanced team statistics, while the other could see heavier participation from casual fans influenced by recent media narratives. These distinct participant profiles often lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially in niche markets like this one. Additionally, volume differences—$72,255 overall versus $58,358 in the last day—can amplify price swings on less liquid platforms.