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404,028

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
predict
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen?

Volume:
$247,601

Game 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 3:22 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47,508
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,831
$10,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
13%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,845
$17,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,737
$9,318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

NightBirds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,831
N/A
N/A
$21,540
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 3 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$6,197
$4,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Game 4 Winner

View
67%
Yes 67¢No 33¢
1¢
$109
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
50%
12%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$4,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 3.5 Games

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
$70,603
$521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5 Games

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$70,702
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

CITA Kaizen

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,619
N/A
N/A
$14,784
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 46

Description

This prediction market group concerns the League of Legends match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual game winners, and various in-game events like dragon slays and inhibitor destructions. The series is a best-of-five.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Tie resolution and source prioritization differ between Polymarket and Kalshi.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket's markets due to its explicit tie-breaking rules and defined resolution source. Monitor gol.gg for official results.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 50-50 in case of cancellation, postponement beyond the deadline, or a tie. Primary source is gol.gg, with a consensus reporting fallback. Detailed rules for incomplete games and postponements.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either team wins, lacking explicit tie resolution. Relies on the event itself for resolution, without specifying a primary source.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against CITA Kaizen. This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against NightBirds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Hitpoint Masters 2026 League of Legends match between CITA Kaizen and NightBirds scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 10:00 AM EDT. If CITA Kaizen wins, the CITA Kaizen market resolves to Yes, and the NightBirds market resolves to No. Conversely, if NightBirds wins, the NightBirds market resolves to Yes, and the CITA Kaizen market resolves to No. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the original time, both markets resolve to their fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, or if either team forfeits before any gameplay occurs, both markets also resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against CITA Kaizen. This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against NightBirds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the LoL Hitpoint Masters Playoffs between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $247,601, with $244,799 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to see where the crowd believes the probability lies for various outcomes within this best-of-five series. The dashboard provides a unified view of predictions, combining insights from different forecasting venues to offer a comprehensive assessment of potential results for the LoL Hitpoint Masters Playoffs.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This market’s implied probabilities can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information or biases. However, both serve as indicators of expected outcomes, and comparing them can reveal interesting insights into public and informed sentiment regarding the NightBirds versus CITA Kaizen matchup.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Game 5: Any Player Quadra Kill? at 98, while Predict leans toward LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 4 Winner. These discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from the inherent randomness of market movements. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform – $247,601 overall – impacts price discovery and can contribute to observed differences.