TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
- Polymarket
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 5, 2026
Closed: Apr 4, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 25 of 62
Description
This event group encompasses a best-of-three League of Legends match between Natus Vincere and Team Vitality in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 4, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The markets span series-level outcomes (match winner, game count), individual game winners, and granular in-game metrics (kills, objectives like Baron/Dragon/Inhibitors, and rare events like Quadra/Penta kills). All markets use gol.gg as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as fallback if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of event conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve all markets based on official information from gol.gg/esports/home, with identical handling of cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, walkovers, incomplete games, and remakes across all game-specific and series-level markets.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home; if results not published within 2 hours after event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting including video evidence may be used.Core resolution logic:
- Series winner (BO3) resolves to the team winning 2 games; if match is canceled, not played, delayed beyond 7 days without completion, or ends in forfeit/walkover/disqualification before play begins, resolves 50-50.
- Games Total O/U 2.5 resolves OVER if 3+ games are played, UNDER if fewer than 3; forfeits/walkovers/defaults count toward total if match is completed; if match canceled, not played, delayed beyond 7 days, or incomplete with forfeiture, resolves 50-50.
- Game-specific markets (winner, kills, objectives, multikills) resolve based on completed game data; if game not played due to series clinch, forfeit, or walkover, resolves 50-50; if game begins but incomplete, resolves based on data prior to stoppage (except kill totals and multikills, which resolve 50-50 if incomplete).
- Objective markets (dragons, barons, inhibitors) resolve YES only if both teams achieve the condition prior to game end; if game incomplete via surrender, resolves based on whether condition was met before stoppage.
- Kill-count markets resolve based on total combined champion kills; executions do not count; if no kills recorded or game incomplete, resolves 50-50.
- Odd/Even kill markets resolve based on parity of total combined kills; if no kills or game incomplete, resolves 50-50.
- Multikill markets (Quadra, Penta) resolve YES if any player achieves the kill type during the game; if game incomplete, resolves based on whether multikill occurred prior to stoppage; if no multikill occurred, resolves NO.
- First Blood markets resolve to the team securing first blood; if game incomplete before first blood occurs, resolves 50-50; if completed with no first blood, resolves 50-50.
- Game remakes are resolved based on the remade game only; prior stoppage data is disregarded.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Series Clinch Before Game Completion: If a team clinches the series before Game 2 or Game 3 is needed (e.g., winning 2-0), all markets for the unplayed game(s) resolve 50-50.
- Game Incomplete via Surrender: For objective and multikill markets, resolution is based on whether the condition was met prior to surrender. For kill-count markets, incomplete games resolve 50-50 regardless of kills recorded.
- Forfeit/Walkover/Disqualification Before Match Start: Series winner and Games Total markets resolve 50-50 if the match ends via forfeit, walkover, or disqualification before any game is played.
- Forfeit/Walkover During Series: If a team forfeits a game after the series has begun (e.g., during Game 2), the opposing team wins that game; the series result is determined by the 2-game winner. Games Total counts the forfeited game.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days Without Play: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled April 4, 2026 date without any game being played, all markets resolve 50-50.
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