LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Volume:
$1,037,084
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
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Description
This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between Natus Vincere and Movistar KOI in the LEC Versus Playoffs, scheduled for February 20, 2026. Markets span match winner, game-by-game outcomes, total kills across multiple thresholds, first blood, and games-played totals, with resolution sourced from gol.gg.
Kalshi's match winner market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Natus Vincere win OR Movistar KOI win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary resolution (team name). Additionally, publication windows for kill-count markets vary between 2 and 12 hours across sources.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's match winner market. Use Polymarket for all match outcomes. Cross-check all kill-count markets to confirm they use the 2-hour publication standard from gol.gg, not 12 hours, to avoid settlement delays.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Match winner market states: 'If Natus Vincere wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Movistar KOI wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. The market lacks a No outcome path and is therefore unresolvable.
Polymarket: Match winner market: 'resolves to Natus Vincere if Natus Vincere win' and 'resolves to Movistar KOI if Movistar KOI win.' Standard binary outcome with team-name resolution. Includes clear tie/cancellation rules (50-50 resolution). Publication window: 12 hours from event conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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