TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Fnatic in the LEC Group Stage, initially scheduled for March 29 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Movistar KOI. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines comprehensive game-level and series-level markets with detailed resolution rules for various contingencies (forfeits, walkovers, remakes, surrenders), while Kalshi provides only two binary markets that collapse all match outcomes into a single YES resolution, creating fundamental incompatibility in scope and resolvability.Hero Tip:
Polymarket offers granular betting on specific in-game events (kills, dragons, inhibitors, first blood) and series structure (games played, handicap), whereas Kalshi only resolves YES if either team wins the match. If you trade on Polymarket, you gain precision on game-level outcomes; on Kalshi, you are betting only on match winner. These markets are not directly comparable and may diverge significantly in pricing and settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket offers 137 distinct markets spanning series outcome, individual game winners, in-game events (penta kills, quadra kills, first blood, dragon/baron slays, inhibitor destruction), kill counts with multiple thresholds, and series structure (games total, handicap). Each market has detailed contingency rules for forfeits, walkovers, remakes, and surrenders. Key quote: 'If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50' and 'If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi provides only two binary markets that both resolve to YES if either Fnatic or Movistar KOI wins the match, with no differentiation between game-level outcomes, in-game events, or series structure. The markets lack any contingency rules for forfeits, walkovers, or remakes. Key quote: 'If Fnatic wins the LEC 2026: Fnatic vs. Movistar KOI League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Movistar KOI wins the LEC 2026: Fnatic vs. Movistar KOI League of Legends match originally scheduled for Mar 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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