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406,019

Markets across

30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
predict
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Volume:
$1,444,466

Game 1 Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 8:50 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$842,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,032
$24,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$254,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$11,147
$7,265
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$191,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,630
$4,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$9,095
$1,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$75
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,993
N/A
N/A
$6,404
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 33

Intro

This market tracks whether there will be first blood in Game 2 of the League of Legends match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket. Results are settled using official data from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backup if necessary. Watch for the match on August 2 at 4:00PM ET, as this will determine the resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic, including 50-50 resolution for cancellations, incomplete games, and unresolved outcomes after 7 days, with https://gol.gg/esports/home as the primary source and credible reporting as a backup.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backup if results are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match results resolve to the winning team if a winner is determined; 50-50 for cancellations, ties, or unresolved outcomes after 7 days
  • Game-specific markets resolve based on completed games; 50-50 if the game is not completed or the series is unresolved
  • Official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home are primary, with credible reporting used if results are not published within 2 hours

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Game: If a game begins but is not completed, markets resolve to 50-50 unless the winner is determined (e.g., forfeiture)
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, all markets resolve to 50-50
  • Remade Game: If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only
Timing: Markets resolve within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, using official results from https://gol.gg/esports/home or credible reporting as a backupOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the LCS 2026: Shopify Rebellion vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Shopify Rebellion. This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LCS LYON vs Shopify Rebellion BO3 market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood of various match outcomes. It displays total volume of $1,444,466 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,404,022, letting you see where consensus forms across platforms. This view helps you spot shifts in trader sentiment as the match approaches.

On Polymarket and Predict, traders set prices independently, leading to natural variance. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, differences arise from user bases: Polymarket attracts more esports‑focused traders who react quickly to practice scrim results, while Predict may have a broader audience slower to update. Liquidity gaps also play a role — lower volume on one platform can amplify small trades, pushing its price away from Polymarket’s more stable line. Additionally, each platform’s fee structure influences participation and price discovery speed.