TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Game 1 Winner
- Polymarket
Game 1 Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 20, 2026
Closed: Apr 19, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 67
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between LYON and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Regular Season, scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets span series outcomes, individual game winners, objective control (Baron, Dragons, Inhibitors), kill statistics (totals, odd/even, multi-kills), and first blood. The primary resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as fallback if official results are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: markets resolve based on official gol.gg data, with 50-50 fallback for cancellations, delays beyond 7 days, forfeits, walkovers, or incomplete games; Kalshi's single map-count market (O/U 2.5) aligns with Polymarket's series outcome and game-count logic.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting consensus (including video evidence) as secondary source if gol.gg does not publish within 2 hours of event conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Series outcome (LYON vs Shopify Rebellion) resolves to the team winning the best-of-3 match; if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or ends in forfeit/walkover/tie, resolves 50-50.
- Individual game winners (Game 1, Game 2) resolve based on the team winning that specific game; if game is not completed or never played, resolves 50-50.
- Game-count market (O/U 2.5 games) resolves YES if 3+ games are played; resolves NO if fewer than 3 games are played; if match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days, or incomplete without a series winner, resolves 50-50.
- In-game stat markets (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multi-kills, first blood, odd/even kills) resolve based on official gol.gg data for the specified game; if that game is not played, never completed, or the series ends before that game is needed, resolves 50-50.
- A Penta Kill counts as satisfying any Quadra Kill market; executions (non-champion kills) do not count toward kill totals.
- Elemental dragons only count toward dragon markets; Elder Dragon kills do not count.
- If a game is remade, resolution is based on the remade game only (except First Blood, which uses pre-remake data if first blood occurred before the remake).
- Handicap market (LYON -1.5 vs Shopify +1.5) resolves to LYON if LYON wins 2+ more games than Shopify; otherwise resolves to Shopify; if match is canceled, delayed, or incomplete without a series winner, resolves 50-50.
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Series Clinch Before Game Completion: If a team clinches the series before Game 2 or Game 3 is needed (e.g., wins 2-0), those unplayed games resolve 50-50 on all in-game stat markets; the series outcome and game-count market resolve based on the completed games.
- Game Surrender Mid-Play: If a game begins but ends via surrender before completion, in-game stat markets resolve based on data recorded prior to stoppage; if the condition was not met (e.g., no Quadra Kill occurred), the market resolves NO (or 50-50 for kill-count markets if no kills were recorded).
- First Blood Pre-Remake: If Game 1 or Game 2 is remade, the First Blood market resolves to whichever team secured first blood prior to the remake; if first blood did not occur before the remake, resolution is based on the remade game.
- Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date (April 19, 4:00 PM ET) without a winner determined, all markets resolve 50-50.
- Forfeit, Disqualification, or Walkover: If the match ends due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before play begins, the series outcome resolves 50-50; if a team forfeits after the series has begun and one team clinches, that team wins the series and the series outcome resolves accordingly, but the game-count and unplayed game markets resolve 50-50.
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