TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of LYON vs Disguised?

Volume:
$217,102

Game 1 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 1 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 7:52 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
18¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 maps

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,992
N/A
N/A
$5,119
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$664
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 42.5 in Game 2?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This prediction market group centers around a League of Legends (LoL) match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season. Markets cover the overall match winner, individual game winners, and various in-game events like Baron Nashor kills, dragon slays, and inhibitor destructions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancy in how 'Games Total' is resolved. Polymarket considers forfeits, Kalshi does not.Hero tip: Pay attention to potential forfeits or disqualifications. If a forfeit occurs, Polymarket will likely resolve differently than Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the number of completed games, including those finished due to forfeit/disqualification. Over = 3+ games, Under = fewer than 3. "Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed."
  • Kalshi: Resolves simply based on the number of maps played. Over = >2.5 maps. "If over 2.5 maps are played...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between LYON and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against LYON. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If over 2.5 maps are played in the LCS 2026: Disguised vs. LYON League of Legends match originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the collective predictions on the LoL LCS matchup between LYON and Disguised. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $217,102, with $216,458 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities surrounding various outcomes within the best-of-three series. The current spread in probabilities between Polymarket and Kalshi provides insight into differing perspectives on the likely winner and specific in-game events. This is a dynamic view of the LoL LCS matchup market, reflecting real-time trader sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Examining both sources provides a more comprehensive understanding of the probabilities surrounding this market. The current volume of $217,102 suggests active engagement with this event.