TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$166,142,352
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,818,621,635
497,537
Markets across
36,957
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,833
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether LOUD will win their best-of-five League of Legends match against FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs Lower Bracket Final. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.6% probability to FURIA Esports winning with a -2.5 game handicap against LOUD. Resolution will be based on the outcome reported by gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the initial match start time of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, as this signifies the beginning of the event window for determining the winner of the series.
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers, while this market relies on individuals directly putting their capital behind their beliefs. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those seen here, it could indicate a disagreement about the true probabilities of each team winning. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights, particularly if you believe the market is more efficiently priced than traditional options.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and any new information or shifts in sentiment will be immediately incorporated into the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official results of the best-of-five series between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs. The team declared the winner by the tournament organizers will determine the winning outcome for this market. Any disputes or ambiguities will be resolved by referencing the official tournament documentation and broadcasts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the series concludes. Unexpected news regarding player health, changes in team strategies, or even strong performances in earlier matches could all shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other CBLOL matches might also impact perceptions of team strength. Furthermore, any official announcements from the tournament organizers regarding scheduling or format changes could introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.