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LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win LGD Gaming vs Team WE?

Volume:
$3,015,526

Team WE

 - Kalshi

Team WE - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 4:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Team WE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$85,965
N/A
N/A
$58,918
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$44,966
$3,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,509
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,698
$74,992
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,163,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$20,283
$34,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$604,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$20,428
$28,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$886,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,412
$5,356
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LGD Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,641
N/A
N/A
$26,294
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 44

Intro

This market tracks whether any player will achieve a penta kill in Game 2 of the best-of-three League of Legends match between LGD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend. The aggregated consensus probability for a penta kill occurring is 20.0%, with equal 20.0% probability for a quadra kill, drawing data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and resolution will be provided by https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for key plays during the match scheduled for July 25, 2026 as they will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's Game 2 Winner market uses inverted logic that always resolves Yes if Game 2 is played, regardless of outcome. This contradicts the standard binary winner market semantics used by Polymarket and Predict, making Kalshi's market fundamentally unresolvable as a winner predictor.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi Game 2 Winner market for directional bets on LGD vs WE Game 2 outcome. Use Polymarket or Predict Game 2 Winner instead. Kalshi's market only tells you if Game 2 happened, not who won.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Game 2 Winner is a standard binary: resolves to LGD Gaming if LGD wins Game 2, Team WE if Team WE wins Game 2. Includes 50-50 fallback if Game 2 not played, forfeited, or series clinched before Game 2. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE.'
  • Predict: Identical to Polymarket Game 2 Winner logic (not explicitly shown in source data but platform structure mirrors Polymarket).
  • Kalshi: Game 2 Winner resolves Yes if either team wins Game 2 (always Yes if Game 2 is played). No No outcome specified. Key Quote: 'If Team WE wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If LGD Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a series-completion indicator, not a winner market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the winner of map 2 in the specified LPL match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours from the original start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If the map is cancelled before play begins, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the map is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the LGD vs WE BO3 match market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of different match outcomes. It tracks total volume of $3,015,526 and recent 24-hour volume at $2,855,574, letting users see consensus and divergence across venues. This centralized view helps fans and traders monitor sentiment shifts as the event approaches, with all data updated live to reflect current market conditions.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, team strategy announcements, and recent performance metrics from related matches. Updates from official LPL channels, coaching staff comments, or unexpected roster changes may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, any last-minute news or bracket adjustments can cause rapid probability swings, especially on platforms with lower liquidity.