TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Match Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 16, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 8:03 AM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks whether any player will achieve a penta kill in Game 2 of the League of Legends match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend. The aggregated consensus probability for a penta kill in Game 2 is 20.0%, drawn from Predict, Limitless, Kalshi, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. A key catalyst to monitor will be the match itself, scheduled for August 16 at 3:00AM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official match results from gol.gg with credible reporting fallback, and consistent handling of edge cases like cancellations, forfeitures, and incomplete gamesPrimary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with fallback to credible reporting including video evidence if neededCore resolution logic:
- Match results determine winners for match and game winner markets
- Total games played determines O/U 2.5 outcome
- Handicap calculated based on game differences
- In-game statistics (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Kills) resolved based on actual game events
- 50-50 resolution applies for cancellations, forfeitures, walkovers, and incomplete games per specific market rules
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Cancellations/Delayed Matches: All markets resolve to 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning
- Incomplete Games: Markets resolve based on completed portions unless specifically stated otherwise (e.g., Game X Winner requires completion of that game)
- Forfeitures/Walkovers: Match winner resolves to winning team if one team forfeits/disqualifies after play begins; 50-50 if team withdraws before start
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 16 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the LPL 2026 match originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 3:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 16 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2026, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Key player injuries, strategic roster changes, or recent performance in practice matches could shift this market. High-impact moments like early-game dominance or unexpected player substitutions often cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, any significant betting surges on Polymarket or Predict may amplify movement as traders react to new information before the series begins.