TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and T1 Academy in the LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for March 31 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against T1 Academy. This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves based on the outcome of the LCK Challengers League 2026 tournament (winner-takes-all), while Polymarket resolves based on individual game outcomes within a specific BO3 match scheduled for March 31, 2026. These are two entirely different events with no logical connection.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming they settle the same way. Kalshi's markets depend on the final tournament champion; Polymarket's markets depend on specific game results in one match. A team could win Game 1 on Polymarket but lose the tournament on Kalshi. Treat them as separate, unrelated markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on tournament-level outcome. Both markets (questions 1 and 2) state 'If T1 Academy wins the LCK Challengers League 2026' or 'If DRX Challengers wins the LCK Challengers League 2026', meaning resolution depends on which team wins the entire 2026 LCK Challengers League tournament, not the specific March 31 BO3 match. The resolution source is not specified in the provided text, creating additional ambiguity.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves on individual game outcomes within the March 31 BO3 match only. All 18 Polymarket markets (questions 3–47) explicitly reference specific games (Game 1, Game 2, Game 3) and in-game events (dragon kills, baron kills, inhibitor destruction, penta kills, etc.). Resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home with a 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. These markets are completely independent of the tournament outcome.
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