TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 9:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving a quadra kill in Game 3 of the Kiwoom DRX Challengers versus DN SOOPers Challengers match within the LCK Challengers League Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0% that a quadra kill will occur. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Keep an eye on the start of Game 3 on September 7, 2026, as that will determine whether this market resolves to Yes or No.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Kiwoom DRX Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 7, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the LCK Challengers League 2026, specifically whether DN SOOPers Challengers or DRX Challengers wins the league, which determines the result of their match scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the LCK Challengers League playoffs. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket might have different fee structures or order types than Kalshi, influencing how traders behave. Furthermore, the volume on each platform – currently $858,977 – impacts price discovery and can create temporary imbalances. These differences contribute to the varied probabilities observed across the two venues.