TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Kaufland Hangry Knights and ROSSMANN Centaurs in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kaufland Hangry Knights" if Kaufland Hangry Knights win the match against ROSSMANN Centaurs. This market will resolve to "ROSSMANN Centaurs" if ROSSMANN Centaurs win the match against Kaufland Hangry Knights. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's match winner market (Questions 1-2) contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (either team winning) resolve to Yes, with no defined No condition. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction market.Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi's match winner market entirely. All 22 other markets (Polymarket and consensus logic) are internally consistent and resolve via official gol.gg data. Focus trading on the primary match winner (Questions 38-39), game winners, and objective/achievement markets, which all follow the same unified edge-case framework.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Match winner market (Questions 1-2) states: 'If Kaufland Hangry Knights wins... then Yes. If ROSSMANN Centaurs wins... then Yes.' This creates a logical tautology with no No condition, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction.
- Polymarket & Consensus: All 22 other markets, including the primary match winner (Questions 38-39), resolve to a specific team name or 50-50 for cancellations/delays beyond 7 days. Game-specific markets resolve 50-50 if the game is not played or delayed beyond 7 days.
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