TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game 1 Winner
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 25, 2026
Closed: Jul 25, 3:47 PM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks whether both teams will slay a dragon in Game 3 of the best-of-three League of Legends match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome across Predict, Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless is currently 100%. Resolution will be based on official results from gol.gg. The outcome will be determined by the match on July 25, 2026, so keep an eye on that date for the event's conclusion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi Game 2 market contains a logical contradiction: both possible outcomes (Movistar KOI wins OR Karmine Corp wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. All other platforms (Polymarket, Predict, Limitless) maintain consistent binary logic.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi Game 2 market entirely due to unresolvable logic. Trade Game 2 winner on Polymarket or Predict instead, where resolution is clear: gol.gg official result or credible consensus within 2 hours of completion. Forfeits/walkovers before play begins resolve 50-50.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket & Predict: Game 2 winner resolves to the team that wins Game 2 based on gol.gg official data. If Game 2 not completed for any reason, resolves 50-50. If match canceled or delayed >7 days without play, resolves 50-50. Forfeits/walkovers before match start resolve 50-50.
- Kalshi: States: 'If Movistar KOI wins map 2... resolves to Yes. If Karmine Corp wins map 2... resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. Market is malformed and unresolvable.
- Limitless: Match winner (not game-specific) resolves Yes if named team wins. If not completed by Aug 25, 2026 23:59 UTC, resolves Other. Forfeits/walkovers resolve to declared winner.
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
Resolution depends on the outcome of map 2 in the specified LEC match. If the map is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match or map is cancelled before play begins, or if a match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map is forfeited before any play occurs in that map, the market resolves to fair market price. If a map begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market resolves according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Summer 2026, scheduled for Jul 25, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by August 25, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on this market reflect trader sentiment and can diverge from sportsbook lines due to different dynamics like liquidity and participant behavior. While sportsbooks may set their odds based on broader analytics and risk management, prediction markets price outcomes through direct trader participation, often resulting in sharper or more volatile shifts as the event approaches.