TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Karmine Corp Blue and ZYB Esport in the LFL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 23 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against ZYB Esport. This market will resolve to "ZYB Esport" if ZYB Esport win the match against Karmine Corp Blue. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket address fundamentally different events: Kalshi resolves on LFL 2026 season outcome (binary winner), while Polymarket resolves on specific in-game mechanics during Game 1 (inhibitors, Baron, kills, dragons). These are separate market types with no logical overlap.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on who wins the match (Karmine Corp Blue or ZYB Esport). If you trade on Polymarket, you are betting on specific gameplay events within Game 1 only. These are independent bets — a team can win the match but still fail to destroy inhibitors, slay Baron, or achieve other in-game conditions. Do not assume correlation between Kalshi resolution and any Polymarket outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Kalshi market resolves YES if either team wins the LoL match scheduled for Apr 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. This is a simple binary match winner market with no in-game mechanics considered. Key quote: 'If ZYB Esport wins the LFL 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes. If Karmine Corp Blue wins the LFL 2026... match... then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Polymarket offers six separate markets, each tied to specific in-game events during Game 1 only: inhibitor destruction, Baron slays, quadra kills, penta kills, total kill parity (odd/even), and dragon slays. Each resolves independently based on whether both teams achieve the stated condition. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if both Karmine Corp Blue and ZYB Esport each destroy at least one enemy inhibitor during Game 1.'
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