TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
limitless
predict
kalshi
opinion
polymarket

What is the result of JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming?

Volume:
$2,975,096

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 11:40 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,363,712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Match Winner

View
99%
27%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$77,034
$135,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$547,320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 2 Winner

View
99%
34%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$58,471
$98,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

JD Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,603
N/A
N/A
$98,050
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 2.5 Games

View
99%
54%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$51,224
$3,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
-0.1¢
N/A
$2,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$190
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game 1 Winner

View
1%
55%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,640
$34,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$426,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

View
1%
40%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$527
$7,150
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ThunderTalk Gaming

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$87,376
N/A
N/A
$68,034
Settled
No
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,131
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
98%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,345
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$935
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 46

Intro

This market tracks whether first blood will occur in Game 2 of the League of Legends match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend. The aggregated consensus probability for this outcome stands at 100.0% across Limitless, Predict, Kalshi, Opinion, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official match results from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for the match on August 20, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use the same core resolution logic based on official match results from gol.gg with consistent handling of cancellations, incomplete matches, and team name variations.Primary resolution logic: https://gol.gg/esports/home (with video evidence as secondary source)

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner determined by first team to win majority of games (2 out of 3)
  • Game winners resolved based on completed games only; incomplete games resolve 50-50
  • Total games count includes completed matches only; forfeited/clinched games count if match completed
  • All in-game event markets (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, Kills) resolve based on actual game footage/statistics
  • Cancellations, ties, or unresolved matches after 7 days resolve 50-50
  • Team name variations accepted if clearly identifiable (abbreviations, sponsor tags, etc.)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Remade Games: Resolution based on the remade game only
  • Forfeit/Walkover: Match resolves 50-50 if team withdraws before start; resolves to winning team if forfeiture occurs after match begins
  • Incomplete Games: Game-specific markets resolve based on completed portions; series markets resolve 50-50
Timing: Within 2 hours after official results are published on gol.gg, or when video evidence confirms outcomesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 20 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the LPL 2026 League of Legends match between ThunderTalk Gaming and JD Gaming scheduled for August 20, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If ThunderTalk Gaming wins the match, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if JD Gaming wins, their market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any gameplay, all markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 20 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the LoL match between JD Gaming and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Split 3 2026, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against ThunderTalk Gaming. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Opinion

In the upcoming LPL best-of-series match scheduled for 2026-08-20 09:00 UTC: if ThunderTalk Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming"; if JD Gaming wins the series, the market will resolve to "JD Gaming". The series winner is the first team to win a majority of games. Individual games remade due to technical issues do not count as wins toward the series. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team's listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: official LPL broadcast and https://lolesports.com. Note: Opinion will resolve this market strictly based on the first final result officially published or announced by a designated resolution source. Any subsequent revision, correction, or reversal will not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk BO3 market aggregates real-time data from multiple platforms, showing how traders price the likelihood of each team winning the best-of-three series. It displays total volume of $2,975,096 and 24-hour volume of $2,643,473, letting you see where consensus lies and how sentiment shifts before the match concludes.

Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, which can create price gaps. These differences are especially noticeable in niche events like LPL Group Ascend matches, where trader sentiment may diverge from established sportsbook models.

Key signals that could shift this market include player performance updates, injury reports, coaching strategy changes, and in-game momentum during the match. As the series unfolds, any surprise roster adjustments or dominant early game dynamics may cause rapid re-pricing, especially on platforms with active trader participation. Media narratives and pre-match analysis can also sway sentiment in the hours leading to tip-off.