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LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

Volume:
$7,061,159

Game 3 Winner

 - Polymarket

Game 3 Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,158,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$721,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bilibili Gaming

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$204,375
N/A
N/A
$165,844
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$69,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,539
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 17.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 19.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 20.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 98

Description

This event group covers a League of Legends Best-of-5 playoff match between JD Gaming and Bilibili Gaming scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET in the LPL Playoffs. Markets span match winner, individual game winners, kill totals across all five potential games, first blood outcomes, game count totals, and handicap spreads.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official gol.gg data with 2-hour fallback to consensus, 50-50 for cancellations/delays/forfeits/incomplete games, strict kill thresholds, and first blood determined by actual kill occurrence.Primary resolution logic: Official information from gol.gg/esports/home; if not published within 2 hours after event conclusion, consensus of credible reporting including video evidence.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner (BO5) resolves to the team winning 3 games first; if match is forfeited, disqualified, or abandoned before completion, resolves 50-50.
  • Individual game winners resolve based on completed game outcome; incomplete games resolve 50-50.
  • Kill totals use strict thresholds: Over 28.5 = 29+ kills, Over 29.5 = 30+ kills, Over 30.5 = 31+ kills, Over 31.5 = 32+ kills.
  • First blood resolves to the team securing the kill prior to game stoppage or remake; if no first blood occurs before completion, resolves 50-50.
  • Game count totals (O/U 3.5, O/U 4.5) count all games played including forfeits, provided match is completed.
  • Remade games use only the remade game data for kill totals and first blood.
  • Match cancellation, delay beyond 7 days without play beginning, forfeit, disqualification, or walkover all resolve to 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match Before Clinching: If match begins but is not completed before one team clinches (e.g., 3-1 lead with Game 5 not played), match winner resolves to the clinching team. Game count resolves based on games actually played. Individual game markets for unplayed games resolve 50-50.
  • Game Remade Mid-Series: Kill totals and first blood for a remade game use only the remade game data. All other markets (match winner, game count) proceed normally based on final series outcome.
  • Forfeit or Disqualification: If a team forfeits, is disqualified, or walks over before match start, match winner resolves 50-50. If forfeit occurs mid-series after games are played, match winner resolves to the team with the series lead (if clinched) or 50-50 (if not clinched). Game count resolves 50-50 if match is abandoned before completion.
  • First Blood Never Occurs: If a game is completed but no first blood kill is recorded, the first blood market for that game resolves 50-50.
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If match is delayed more than 7 days from scheduled date (March 4, 2026) without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs within 2 hours after match conclusion based on official gol.gg publication; if not published by then, consensus reporting is used. Match is scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.