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402,751

Markets across

30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports?

Volume:
$7,800,748

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 7:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,465,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 3 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,046,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,014,212
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5 Games

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 maps

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,847
N/A
N/A
$9,735
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5 Games

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,035
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 maps

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,521
N/A
N/A
$3,387
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,888
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 4?

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 4 Winner

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,702,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,401,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 72

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving a Quadra Kill in Game 5 of the Invictus Gaming versus Top Esports best-of-five series during the LPL Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated probability of a Quadra Kill occurring in Game 5 is 19.0%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by data from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Additionally, there is a 19.0% probability of any player achieving a Penta Kill in Game 5. Keep an eye on the series schedule, as the outcome will be determined following the conclusion of the final game on or before September 5, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The market structure differs between platforms, with Polymarket offering a wider range of in-game event markets alongside the overall match and game winner markets, while Kalshi focuses solely on the total number of games played.Hero tip: Focus on the over/under game count markets on Kalshi, as they directly correspond to the Polymarket offerings. The core resolution logic is consistent, but the market structure is slightly different.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets for overall match winner, individual game winners, and various in-game events (Baron Nashor, dragons, inhibitors, kills). Resolution relies on official sources and credible reporting, with specific rules for cancellations, postponements, and incomplete games.
  • Kalshi: Focuses solely on over/under game count markets (3.5 and 4.5 games). Resolution relies on official sources, with specific rules for cancellations and postponements. The resolution criteria for the game count is consistent with Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event evaluates two separate conditions regarding the total number of maps played in the Invictus Gaming versus Top Esports League of Legends match scheduled for September 5, 2026. The first condition resolves positively if more than 3.5 maps are played, meaning at least four maps occur. The second condition requires more than 4.5 maps, translating to at least five maps being completed. Both conditions are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria. The match must be the one originally scheduled for the specified date and time. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official ties to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Invictus Gaming versus Top Esports match in the LPL Playoffs. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $7,800,748, with $7,777,792 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the probabilities assigned to various outcomes by traders on each platform, allowing you to compare sentiment and potential opportunities. This allows for a broad view of the LPL Playoffs market and how predictions are evolving as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about an outcome, creating a demand-based pricing mechanism. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or disagreement about the likely result of this market. However, both types of odds aim to accurately forecast the probability of events.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, market design, and available liquidity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to differing opinions reflected in the prices. Additionally, the specific market structures – the types of outcomes offered and the fees charged – can influence trading behavior. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill? at 98, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 4.5 maps be played in the Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esports League of Legends match? at n/a.