TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season
polymarket
kalshi

LoL: HMBLE vs Zena Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

Volume:
$117,324

Match Winner

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 17, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

HMBLE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,600
N/A
N/A
$11,085
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Zena Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,413
N/A
N/A
$9,603
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group covers the League of Legends Best-of-One match between HMBLE and Zena Esports scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT in the LIT Regular Season. Markets span match outcome, in-game objectives (Baron, inhibitors, dragons), rare player achievements (Quadra/Penta kills), and aggregate kill parity, all resolving based on official gol.gg data or credible consensus within 2 hours post-conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable, while Polymarket provides clear binary resolution logic. Kalshi's dual YES conditions for both possible outcomes creates a settlement failure.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's version of this market entirely — it will resolve YES regardless of outcome, making it unsuitable for directional trading. Trade only on Polymarket, which offers proper binary resolution (HMBLE vs Zena Esports) with well-defined edge cases.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market structure contains a logical contradiction. Both conditions resolve to YES: 'If Zena Esports wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If HMBLE wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market will resolve YES regardless of which team wins, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a predictive instrument.
  • Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: market resolves to HMBLE if HMBLE wins, or Zena Esports if Zena Esports wins. Includes well-defined edge cases: cancellation/tie/7+ day delay = 50-50; forfeit/disqualification/walkover before start = 50-50; forfeit during match with winner determined = resolves to winner. Resolution source is gol.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.