TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.6b

24H VOL:

$283,259,638

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,235,549,422

505,521

Markets across

13,661

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,892

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

LoL: HMBLE vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs

Volume:
$99,164
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between HMBLE and GMBLERS ESPORTS in the LIT Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 23 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "HMBLE" if HMBLE win the match against GMBLERS ESPORTS. This market will resolve to "GMBLERS ESPORTS" if GMBLERS ESPORTS win the match against HMBLE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi rules contain a logical tautology: both possible match outcomes (GMBLERS wins OR HMBLE wins) resolve to Yes, with no defined No condition. Polymarket rules are absent, preventing cross-platform consistency verification.

Hero Tip:

Do not trade this market until the tautological structure is resolved. Contact both platforms to clarify: (1) whether a No outcome exists for cancellation/postponement scenarios, (2) whether the Kalshi rules are a documentation error, and (3) whether Polymarket uses identical or alternative logic. A market that always resolves Yes regardless of outcome has no predictive value.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves Yes if GMBLERS ESPORTS wins the match (Apr 23, 2026, 12:00 PM EDT) AND also resolves Yes if HMBLE wins the same match. No No-resolution condition is defined. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot resolve to No under any stated circumstance.
  • Polymarket: No detailed rules available for this event group. Cannot determine if Polymarket uses the same tautological structure as Kalshi or defines alternative resolution logic including No outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.