TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

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LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Volume:
$2,626,802
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group comprises 23 prediction markets covering a League of Legends Best-of-3 series between HANJIN BRION (also listed as OKSavingsBank BRION on Kalshi) and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, originally scheduled for April 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Markets span match outcomes, individual game winners, in-game statistics (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, multikills), and series handicaps. The core event is a single BO3 match; all game-specific markets depend on that match being played and completed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket defines 23 granular markets across individual games and series outcomes with detailed conditional logic, while Kalshi provides only a single market on Game 2 winner with minimal specification. The platforms cover different scopes and resolution sources.

Hero Tip:

If betting on Kalshi's Game 2 winner market, note that Polymarket offers 23 related markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, inhibitors, dragons, kills parity, penta/quadra kills, series winner, handicap, total games) that may provide correlated information. Kalshi's single market lacks the granularity and conditional detail of Polymarket's suite, so cross-platform arbitrage or hedging is limited. Ensure you verify the match actually occurs and Game 2 is played before settlement on Kalshi.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket offers 23 distinct markets covering: (1) Series winner (BO3 match outcome), (2) Game 1/2/3 individual winners, (3) Game-specific events (penta kills, quadra kills, dragon slays, inhibitor destruction, baron kills, kill parity odd/even), (4) Series handicap (NS -1.5 vs HANJIN +1.5), and (5) Total games over/under 2.5. All markets include detailed conditional logic: if a game is not played due to series clinch, forfeit, or cancellation beyond 7 days, markets resolve 50-50; if a game begins but ends via surrender, resolution is based on events prior to stoppage; remakes are resolved on the remade game only. Primary source is gol.gg/esports/home with fallback to credible reporting within 2 hours. Key quote: 'If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Kalshi offers a single binary market: 'If OKSavingsBank BRION wins map 2 in the LCK 2026: Nongshim Red Force vs. OKSavingsBank BRION League of Legends match originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.' Alternatively, 'If Nongshim Red Force wins map 2, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction: both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to Yes. The market lacks conditional language for cancellation, forfeit, delay, or incomplete games. No resolution source is specified. Key quote: 'If OKSavingsBank BRION wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nongshim Red Force wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.