TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
%20scale(0.82)%20translate(-12.5%20-12.5)'%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M9.619%2012.69h12.995a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200-2.76h-3.932l5.298-5.405.032-.032L22.08%202.56h-5.255V1.38c0-.76-.619-1.38-1.38-1.38H9.81c-.76%200-1.38.62-1.38%201.38V11.5c0%20.657.534%201.19%201.19%201.19m12.995-2.186h-5.3l5.89-6.01-1.139-1.139-5.813%205.933V1.38a.806.806%200%200%200-.805-.806.806.806%200%200%200-.805.806v9.545c0%20.656.533%201.19%201.189%201.19h6.783a.806.806%200%200%200%200-1.612'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3cpath%20fill='%23000'%20fill-rule='evenodd'%20d='M14.393%2011.31H1.398a1.382%201.382%200%200%200%200%202.76H5.33L.032%2019.476%200%2019.507l1.931%201.933h5.255v1.18c0%20.76.619%201.38%201.379%201.38h5.638c.76%200%201.38-.62%201.38-1.38V12.5c0-.657-.534-1.19-1.19-1.19m.293%2011.31a.8.8%200%200%201-.788.805.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.805v-7.904l-5.69%205.928-1.113-1.139%205.764-6.005H6.884a.797.797%200%200%201-.787-.806c0-.444.353-.806.787-.806h6.638c.642%200%201.164.534%201.164%201.19z'%20clip-rule='evenodd'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e){kind=avatar}
Game 1 Winner
- Polymarket
Game 1 Winner - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 13, 2026
Closed: Jun 13, 8:15 AM EST
Polymarket
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)
Intro
This market tracks the winner of the League of Legends Best-of-5 Lower Bracket Semifinal between Gen.G and KT Rolster in the LCK Road to MSI. Across Limitless, Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the consensus probability for a Gen.G victory stands at 99.0%, with KT Rolster at 1.0%. Resolution will be determined by official match results published on gol.gg. Watch for the match outcome on June 13, 2026, which marks the scheduled date for this Lower Bracket Semifinal contest.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi's match-winner market contains a logical contradiction: both KT Rolster victory and Gen.G victory resolve to 'Yes', making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero tip: Avoid or flag Kalshi match-winner market for manual review. All other platforms (Predict, Polymarket, Limitless) use proper binary logic. For all game-level markets across platforms, resolution depends on gol.gg official data within 2 hours post-event; if unavailable, credible reporting and video evidence are acceptable fallbacks. Confirm match completion status: if series ends early (e.g., 3-0), games 4 and 5 resolve to 50-50 on conditional markets.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: CRITICAL LOGIC FAILURE: Match-winner market states both KT Rolster win and Gen.G win resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If KT Rolster wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a binary market contradiction.
- Predict: Proper binary logic: Gen.G win resolves to Gen.G, KT Rolster win resolves to KT Rolster. Cancellation, tie, or delay >7 days = 50-50. Forfeit before start = 50-50. Forfeit mid-series with winner determined = winner resolves. Primary source: gol.gg within 2 hours, else credible reporting.
- Polymarket: Proper binary logic for match and game winners. Game-level markets (kills, dragons, barons, inhibitors, first blood, penta/quadra kills) resolve based on completed game data. If game not played (series clinched early, forfeit, walkover) = 50-50. Primary source: gol.gg within 2 hours, else credible reporting and video evidence.
- Limitless: Proper binary logic: KT Rolster win = YES, Gen.G win = NO. Forfeit/disqualification/walkover = winner declared. If no official result by July 13, 2026 23:59 UTC = Other. Differs from other platforms on deadline (July 13 vs implicit match-day +2 hours).
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Gen.G and KT Rolster in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Gen.G. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If KT Rolster wins the LCK 2026: KT Rolster vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gen.G wins the LCK 2026: KT Rolster vs. Gen.G League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jun 13, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Gen.G and KT Rolster in the LCK Road to MSI, initially scheduled for June 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against KT Rolster. This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against Gen.G. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between Gen.G and KT Rolster in the LCK 2026, scheduled for Jun 13, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by July 13, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks and often reflect different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and information sets. Prediction market odds tend to update faster in response to roster changes, scrim results, and community sentiment, while sportsbooks may lag or apply wider margins. For this Gen.G versus KT Rolster series, comparing prediction market consensus to sportsbook lines can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders diverge on match outcome probabilities and specific in-game events.
Key catalysts include roster announcements or player injuries affecting either team's lineup, recent scrim results or practice footage leaks, head-to-head matchup history and meta shifts in the LCK, and broader tournament context such as bracket seeding or opponent strength. Team form leading into the series, coaching staff changes, and community sentiment on social media can also shift market prices. Additionally, any official LCK statements about scheduling, format changes, or player eligibility may trigger repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi as traders reassess win probabilities and specific in-game outcomes.