TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 2:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction group covers the League of Legends match between Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports and Team Phantasma in the HLL Playoffs. Markets include predictions on the overall match winner, individual game winners, and in-game events like Baron Nashor kills and inhibitor destructions. There are also markets on the total number of games played.
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports and Team Phantasma in the HLL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports" if Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports win the match against Team Phantasma. This market will resolve to "Team Phantasma" if Team Phantasma win the match against Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated League of Legends match. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match starts and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. However, both types of odds aim to represent the likelihood of various outcomes in the LoL Gamespace vs Phantasma match, serving as valuable tools for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information regarding the LoL Gamespace vs Phantasma match. Trading volume, market-specific rules, and even the time of day can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the platforms may weigh information differently or react to news and updates at different speeds. These dynamics create independent price signals, resulting in potentially divergent odds for the same underlying event.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports or Team Phantasma could significantly impact predictions. In-game performance during the series itself, such as early game advantages or key player performances, will also be closely watched. Unexpected drafts or bans during the matches could also cause shifts in the market as traders react to the evolving strategic landscape.