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LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
polymarket
kalshi

LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Volume:
$2,571,665

Fnatic

 - Kalshi

Fnatic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 16, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 3:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fnatic

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$201,792
N/A
N/A
$105,450
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 1?

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$833,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$598,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

G2 Esports

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$230,207
N/A
N/A
$153,972
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

View
0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

First Blood in Game 2?

View
0%
93%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$533
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Intro

This market tracks whether G2 Esports achieves first blood in Game 1 against Fnatic in their LEC Regular Season match, with an aggregated consensus probability of 100.0% drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, resolving against official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. The key catalyst to monitor will be the match itself scheduled for August 16 at 1:15PM ET, which will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across Polymarket and Kalshi share consistent resolution logic, relying on the same official source and handling edge cases uniformly.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backup

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve to the specified outcome (e.g., team name, over/under, yes/no) if the condition is met based on official match results
  • Markets resolve to 50-50 in cases of cancellations, forfeits, walkovers, or if the game is not completed due to surrender or series determination before the game is needed
  • Backup resolution uses credible reporting including video evidence if the official source does not publish results within 2 hours of the event conclusion

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Game not completed due to surrender: Resolution is based on the state of the market condition at the time of surrender (e.g., whether a Quadra Kill occurred, whether inhibitors were destroyed, etc.)
  • Series result determined before a game is needed: Markets for that specific game resolve to 50-50 as the game will not be played
  • Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days: All markets resolve to 50-50
Timing: Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the relevant game or series, with official results published within 2 hours, or via credible reporting if necessaryOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between G2 Esports and Fnatic in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 16 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "G2 Esports" if G2 Esports win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against G2 Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the designated League of Legends match. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, or if it is cancelled or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the G2 vs Fnatic BO3 match market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing the latest consensus view and volume trends across platforms. It tracks how traders on different prediction markets price the likelihood of various match outcomes, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity. With a total volume of $2,571,665 and 24-hour volume at $2,559,487, it reflects the collective wisdom of participants betting on this high-profile LEC Regular Season contest.

On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing sharper or more volatile odds than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate broader risk management and overhead, leading to less extreme implied probabilities. Prediction markets such as this one can price in real-time shifts in team form, roster changes, or meta updates faster than sportsbooks, which may lag due to operational constraints. However, sportsbooks benefit from extensive historical data and curated odds sets, providing a more stabilized baseline for bettors. The spread between the two can vary widely, especially ahead of key moments like patch releases or player rotations, making comparative analysis valuable for arbitrage or insight into crowd-sourced expectations.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles, including player injuries, strategic draft choices, or in-game performance surprises. Patch updates or tournament rulings may also impact trader sentiment. Key moments like early-game kills, map picks, or commentary analysis often trigger rapid price swings. Additionally, any news about team lineups or coaching strategies released close to the match start could reshape market expectations, especially on platforms with faster update cycles.