TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-five League of Legends match between French Flair and Skillcamp Esport in the LFL Invitational Playoffs, scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Markets span match outcome, individual game winners, first blood events, game totals, and handicap bets across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets measure tournament-level outcome (LFL Invitational 2026 winner), while Polymarket markets measure the specific match outcome between French Flair and Skillcamp Esport. Kalshi's two markets are functionally identical (both resolve Yes for any winner), creating logical redundancy and scope mismatch with Polymarket's match-specific resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not use Kalshi markets as a direct hedge for Polymarket match markets. Kalshi appears to be pricing tournament victory, not match victory. Verify with Kalshi whether the match outcome determines tournament outcome (i.e., is this a final?) before trading. If the match is not the tournament decider, Kalshi and Polymarket are measuring different events entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Two markets both resolve to Yes if either Skillcamp Esport or French Flair wins the LFL Invitational 2026. Both markets reference the same match (Feb 24, 2026) but measure tournament victory, not match victory. This creates a logical tautology: the market always resolves Yes regardless of match outcome, provided the tournament is completed.Polymarket:
All markets (match winner, game winners, first blood, totals, handicaps) resolve based on the specific match result between French Flair and Skillcamp Esport. Resolution source is gol.gg/esports/home. Markets measure match-level outcomes only, with no reference to tournament-level results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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