TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether both Forsaken and BOMBA Team will slay Baron Nashor in Game 4 of their best-of-five League of Legends Rift Legends Playoffs matchup. Currently, the aggregated probability across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% chance of both teams achieving this in-game event, according to data sourced from gol.gg. This prediction market group concerns the League of Legends match between Forsaken and BOMBA Team, covering the overall match winner and various in-game events. Keep an eye on the start of Game 4, scheduled for September 9, 2026, to see if this outcome materializes.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Forsaken and BOMBA Team in the Rift Legends Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against BOMBA Team. This market will resolve to "BOMBA Team" if BOMBA Team win the match against Forsaken. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rift Legends 2026 League of Legends match between BOMBA Team and Forsaken, scheduled for September 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM EDT. If BOMBA Team wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Forsaken wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited without any gameplay, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Forsaken and BOMBA Team in the Rift Legends Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Forsaken" if Forsaken win the match against BOMBA Team. This market will resolve to "BOMBA Team" if BOMBA Team win the match against Forsaken. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 9, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through financial rewards. This market’s volume of $519,227 suggests significant interest, and the implied probabilities can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information or risk assessments. It's important to compare both to gain a well-rounded understanding of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to differing opinions on the likely winner of the LoL Rift Legends Playoffs. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $519,227 overall—can influence price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event and offer a way to speculate on the outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Unexpected news regarding player health, team strategies, or even in-game performance during the series could all impact predictions. Major upsets in other related esports events might also affect sentiment. Significant volume spikes, like the $514,383 observed recently, often signal increased interest and potential price movements. Keep an eye on official announcements and community discussions for catalysts that could move this market.