TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Game 1 Winner
all
3 markets
Polymarket
Limitless
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 2, 2026
Closed: Aug 1, 11:53 PM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks whether any player will achieve a penta kill in either Game 1 or Game 2 of the FlyQuest versus Disguised League of Legends match in the LCS Regular Season. The current aggregated consensus probability for any player achieving a penta kill in Game 2 is 50.0%, while the probability for Game 1 is also 50.0%. Data comes from Polymarket, Predict, Kalshi, and Limitless, with resolution based on official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. Watch for the match on August 1 at 7:00PM ET as the key catalyst for resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the same core resolution logic tied to official results from gol.gg, with consistent handling of cancellations, incomplete matches, and tie scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home, with credible reporting as a backupCore resolution logic:
- Match winner markets resolve to the team that wins the best-of-three series, with 50-50 for cancellations or unresolved outcomes
- Game-specific markets resolve based on the outcome of each individual game, requiring completion of that game
- Total games markets resolve to Over if 3+ games are played, Under if fewer, with 50-50 for cancellations or unresolved outcomes
- Handicap markets resolve based on the point differential across completed games
- Special event markets (e.g., Baron Nashor, Dragon kills) resolve based on in-game occurrences in completed games
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Match cancellation: All markets resolve to 50-50 if the match is canceled before any play begins or is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner determined
- Incomplete game: If a game begins but is not completed, game-specific markets resolve based on data up to the stoppage point, while series markets resolve to 50-50 unless the series outcome is already determined
- Forfeit/disqualification: If a team wins due to opponent forfeiture/disqualification, the match winner market resolves to the winning team, but if the forfeit occurs before play begins, it resolves to 50-50
Polymarket
This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
If over 2.5 maps are played in the LCS 2026: Disguised vs. FlyQuest League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Predict
This market refers to the LoL match between FlyQuest and Disguised in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Disguised. This market will resolve to "Disguised" if Disguised win the match against FlyQuest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Limitless
This market refers to the match between FlyQuest and Disguised in the LCS Summer 2026, scheduled for Aug 1, 2026. This market resolves to "YES" if the team named in the title wins in the specified match. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "NO." If either team loses by forfeit, disqualification, or walkover for any reason, this market will resolve to the team declared the winner, regardless of whether the match has started or when the decision is made. If the match is not completed with an official result by September 1, 2026, 23:59 UTC, the market will resolve to "Other."