TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Season
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club?

Volume:
$288,077

Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)

 - Polymarket

Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 5:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$64,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UCAM Esports Club

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,417
N/A
N/A
$6,105
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FALKE Esports

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,795
N/A
N/A
$8,449
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Quadra Kill

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Player Penta Kill

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Odd/Even Total Kills

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This event group covers a best-of-three League of Legends match between FALKE Esports and UCAM Esports Club in the LES Regular Season, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. Markets span series outcomes, individual game winners, game count, handicaps, and in-game objectives (Baron, Dragon, Inhibitors, multi-kills, kill parity).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive, game-level resolution logic with explicit edge-case handling (forfeits, walkovers, remakes, surrenders, delays >7 days). Kalshi offers a minimal binary outcome market with no stated edge-case or cancellation logic, creating ambiguity in non-standard match scenarios.Hero tip: For Polymarket: Treat 50-50 resolution triggers (forfeits, walkovers, >7-day delays, incomplete series) as real risks; monitor official LES communications. For Kalshi: Assume a forfeit or walkover counts as a team "win" unless Kalshi clarifies otherwise. If the series is canceled or delayed >7 days without play, expect Polymarket to resolve 50-50; Kalshi's resolution is undefined—contact support before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Defines 24 distinct markets (Game 1/2/3 winners, series winner, game count, handicap, in-game objectives). Each includes explicit edge-case logic: forfeits/walkovers resolve to 50-50 on series; incomplete games with a winner resolve based on completed games; >7-day delays without play resolve to 50-50. Remakes are resolved on the remade game only. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.' (Series market) vs. 'If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match.' (Game Count market).
  • Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If UCAM Esports Club wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If FALKE Esports wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of forfeits, walkovers, cancellations, delays, remakes, or incomplete series. No stated resolution source or fallback logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL match between FALKE Esports and UCAM Esports Club in the LES Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FALKE Esports" if FALKE Esports win the match against UCAM Esports Club. This market will resolve to "UCAM Esports Club" if UCAM Esports Club win the match against FALKE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the outcome of the full LES 2026 League of Legends match scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. If the match is postponed and not completed within 48 hours of the scheduled start time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, the market resolves to fair market price. If the match begins and is subsequently forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the FALKE vs UCAM LoL match, letting traders monitor real-time odds on multiple outcomes simultaneously. Both venues offer distinct markets tied to the same League of Legends best-of-three regular season fixture. Traders can compare pricing, volume, and consensus probability across platforms to identify arbitrage opportunities or validate their own views. The aggregated view surfaces which outcomes are drawing the most trading activity and conviction, helping you gauge market sentiment before placing positions on either platform.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market may reflect sharper or more current information than traditional sportsbooks, especially for esports events where real-time player form and team dynamics shift rapidly. Comparing the two can reveal where public or professional opinion diverges, though prediction market odds tend to tighten as the event date approaches and new information emerges.

Key catalysts include roster announcements or player injuries affecting either team's lineup, recent scrim performance leaks, head-to-head records and patch changes that favor one team's playstyle, and community sentiment shifts on social media or esports forums. Coaching changes or strategic meta shifts in the broader LES regular season can also reshape expectations. As the match date approaches, live team form, travel logistics, and any last-minute roster swaps will drive repricing. Major upsets in related matches or unexpected bans and picks during champion select could trigger sharp moves in the final hours.